Weekly Market Analysis: July 14th, 2025
A comprehensive dive into this week's cryptocurrency market movements, technical analysis, and actionable trading insights.
Introduction
Welcome to the Weekly Market Analysis for July 14th, 2025. The cryptocurrency market is showing strong bullish momentum, with Bitcoin (BTC) hitting a high at $122,000. This week, we will analyze key market trends, including total market cap, altcoin performance, Bitcoin dominance, and individual assets like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). We also cover upcoming macro-economic events that could influence price action. This post provides actionable insights to help traders navigate the market effectively.
Key Takeaways
- Total Market Cap (TOTAL): Trading slightly above the previous all-time high (ATH) at $3.65T, with potential to grind toward $4T or range between support and resistance.
- Altcoin Market (TOTAL3): Altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH) are lagging, yet to reach a new ATH, signaling a delayed altcoin season.
- Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): At 64.7%, BTC dominance remains strong, with minor pullbacks, indicating Bitcoin’s market leadership.
- Bitcoin (BTC): BTC’s rally to $122,000 reflects strong bullish momentum, with $100,000 as key support.
- Ethereum (ETH): ETH is showing strength but remains below its ATH, with key levels to watch for a breakout.
- Solana (SOL): SOL is consolidating, with potential for a breakout if altcoin momentum picks up.
- Macro Events: CPI (July 15), PPI (July 16), and Initial Jobless Claims (July 17) could introduce volatility.
- Overall Expectation: Bullish outlook with potential for grinding higher or ranging.
TOTAL Market Cap Analysis
The TOTAL chart represents the combined market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies, offering a broad view of market sentiment.
The total market cap is currently trading just above its previous ATH, around $3.65T, indicating strong bullish sentiment. The $3.65T level serves as critical support, while the psychological $4T level may act as the next resistance in this price discovery phase.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case: Sustained trading above $3.65T could drive the market toward $4T. Confirm with higher lows on the daily chart.
- Bearish Case: A break below $3.65T may lead to a correction toward $3.2T.
- Strategy: Look for swing trading opportunities on dips to $3.65T or breakout trades above $4T, with tight stop-losses.
TOTAL3 (Altcoin Market Cap) Analysis
The TOTAL3 chart tracks the market cap of all cryptocurrencies excluding BTC and ETH, highlighting altcoin performance.
Altcoins are lagging, trading below their previous ATH. This suggests capital is primarily flowing into Bitcoin, delaying a broader altcoin rally.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case: A breakout above the previous ATH could signal the start of an altcoin season.
- Bearish Case: Failure to break resistance may lead to further consolidation or a pullback.
- Strategy: Focus on high-quality altcoins with strong fundamentals. Watch for increased volume and a break above key resistance for long entries.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) Analysis
Bitcoin dominance measures BTC’s market cap as a percentage of the total crypto market cap.
At 64.7%, BTC dominance remains elevated with only minor pullbacks, confirming Bitcoin’s dominance over altcoins. A significant drop below 60% could signal capital rotation into altcoins.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case for Altcoins: A break below 60% in BTC.D could trigger an altcoin rally. Monitor for a bearish trendline break.
- Bearish Case for Altcoins: Sustained dominance above 64% suggests continued Bitcoin outperformance.
- Strategy: Use BTC.D as a leading indicator for altcoin trades. Prepare for altcoin entries if dominance weakens.
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis
Bitcoin’s surge to $122,000 underscores its role as the market leader.
BTC is in a strong uptrend, with $100,000 acting as a key psychological and technical support. In price discovery, round numbers like $130,000 or $150,000 may serve as psychological resistance levels.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case: Strength above $120,000 could push BTC toward $130,000 or higher. Look for consolidation above $122,000.
- Bearish Case: A pullback to $100,000 would test support, with $90,000 as the next level.
- Strategy: Scale into longs on pullbacks to $100,000-$110,000, with stop-losses below $90,000. Consider breakout trades above $130,000.
Ethereum (ETH) Analysis
Ethereum (ETH) is a key player in the crypto market, often leading altcoin movements.
ETH is showing strength but remains below its previous ATH, indicating it’s not yet in full breakout mode. Key support lies at recent lows, while resistance at the ATH will be critical to watch. A breakout could signal broader altcoin strength.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case: A break above the ATH could push ETH toward new highs, potentially dragging other altcoins higher.
- Bearish Case: Failure to break resistance may lead to consolidation or a pullback to lower support.
- Strategy: Watch for a high-volume breakout above the ATH for long entries. Place stop-losses below recent support levels.
Solana (SOL) Analysis
Solana (SOL) is a high-beta altcoin, often a bellwether for altcoin momentum.
SOL is currently consolidating, with potential for a breakout if altcoin momentum increases. Key support lies at recent consolidation lows, while resistance at previous highs will be critical.
Trading Insight:
- Bullish Case: A breakout above resistance with strong volume could signal a significant rally, especially if BTC.D declines.
- Bearish Case: A break below support may lead to further downside, particularly if altcoins remain weak.
- Strategy: Accumulate on dips near support with stop-losses below. Look for breakout trades above resistance with confirmation from volume and BTC.D.
Macro-Economic Events This Week
Several macro-economic events could influence market volatility:
- CPI (July 15): Inflation data may impact risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Higher-than-expected CPI could pressure prices, while lower readings may fuel bullish sentiment.
- PPI (July 16): Producer prices can signal future inflation trends, affecting market expectations.
- Initial Jobless Claims (July 17): A gauge of labor market health, with stronger-than-expected claims potentially dampening risk appetite.
Trading Insight: Monitor these events for potential volatility spikes. Consider reducing position sizes ahead of releases and using options or futures to hedge.
Overall Expectation
The market remains bullish, with the total market cap grinding higher or potentially ranging between $3.65T and $4T. Bitcoin’s strength at $122,000 continues to dominate, but a decline in BTC.D could ignite altcoin rallies, particularly in ETH and SOL. Upcoming macro events may introduce short-term volatility, so traders should stay vigilant and manage risk accordingly.
Conclusion
The cryptocurrency market is at a critical juncture, with Bitcoin leading at $122,000 and the total market cap breaking its ATH. Altcoins like ETH and SOL are poised for potential breakouts if capital rotates. Monitor key levels ($3.65T, $4T for TOTAL; $100,000 for BTC) and macro events for trading opportunities. Stay disciplined, use technical indicators, and manage risk effectively.